Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Inter · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Águila 0-1 Inter, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Águila 2-1 Inter
Original prediction
Inter
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:38 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.03 | 45.3% | 30.2% | -15.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.35 | 27.4% | 29.1% | 1.7 pts |
| Away | 3.37 | 27.3% | 40.7% | 13.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.4 pts
Projected Score
Águila 0–1 Inter
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Inter
Probability
40.7%
Model confidence
40.7%
Inter has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ÁguilaLWWDD
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
InterDDDWL
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
ÁguilaInter
44.4Attack47.2
55.6Defence75.0
38.9Form58.3
47.7Power60.7
0.69xG1.20