Águilavs
Fuerte San Francisco
SCHEDULEDEl-Salvador · Primera Division · 8/30/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Águila · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Águila are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Fuerte San Francisco are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDDLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Águila hold an 8.8-point power-rating edge (42.1 v 33.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.1% in the Primera Division, while Águila holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Águila
Probability
46.3%
Model confidence
14.1%
Águila has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40