GGOALVIO

El-Salvador · Primera Division · 8/30/2026, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Águila · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Águila are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Fuerte San Francisco are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDDLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Águila hold an 8.8-point power-rating edge (42.1 v 33.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.1% in the Primera Division, while Águila holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Águila

Probability

46.3%

Model confidence

14.1%

Águila has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ÁguilaLLDDD

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Fuerte San FranciscoWDDLD

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
ÁguilaFuerte San Francisco
33.3Attack25.0
58.3Defence41.7
25.0Form25.0
42.1Power33.2
1.36xG0.90
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