Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Águila · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Águila are 2W-0D-1L in their last 3 (WWL), averaging 0.67 scored and 0.67 conceded, while Dragón are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 4 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Dragón hold a 6.0-point power-rating edge (42.1 v 48.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.8% in the Primera Division, while Águila holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Águila
Probability
37.8%
Model confidence
37.8%
Águila has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 0.67/0.67
GF 3 · GA 1 · avg 3.00/1.00