Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Guijuelo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Guijuelo are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Ribert have no completed matches on record, with no goal data yet. Both teams scored in 2 of those 5 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Ribert hold a 4.7-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 50.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.1% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Guijuelo holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Guijuelo
Probability
41.3%
Model confidence
11.1%
Guijuelo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00