Guidonia Montecelio 1937vs
Pineto
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone B · 10/4/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Guidonia Montecelio 1937 · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Guidonia Montecelio 1937 0-0 Pineto, with an exact score probability of 22%.
Prediction record
Final result
Guidonia Montecelio 1937 1-0 Pineto
Original prediction
Guidonia Montecelio 1937
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 17:44 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.16 | 42.0% | 38.9% | -3.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.11 | 29.2% | 31.8% | 2.6 pts |
| Away | 3.16 | 28.8% | 29.3% | 0.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.16 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.2 pts
Projected Score
Guidonia Montecelio 1937 0–0 Pineto
Exact score probability: 22%
Predicted outcome
Guidonia Montecelio 1937
Probability
38.9%
Model confidence
38.9%
Guidonia Montecelio 1937 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00