Guidonia Montecelio 1937vs
Livorno
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone B · 9/21/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Guidonia Montecelio 1937 · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Guidonia Montecelio 1937 0-0 Livorno, with an exact score probability of 24%.
Prediction record
Final result
Guidonia Montecelio 1937 1-1 Livorno
Original prediction
Guidonia Montecelio 1937
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 18:39 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.25 | 39.8% | 40.1% | 0.3 pts |
| Draw | 2.91 | 30.8% | 32.4% | 1.6 pts |
| Away | 3.04 | 29.4% | 27.5% | -2.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.91 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.3 pts
Projected Score
Guidonia Montecelio 1937 0–0 Livorno
Exact score probability: 24%
Predicted outcome
Guidonia Montecelio 1937
Probability
40.1%
Model confidence
40.1%
Guidonia Montecelio 1937 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80