GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie D · 4/4/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Águia de Marabá · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Águia de Marabá are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Trem are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Águia de Marabá hold a 4.1-point power-rating edge (58.9 v 54.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.2% in the Serie D, while Águia de Marabá holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Águia de Marabá

Probability

51.6%

Model confidence

11.2%

Águia de Marabá has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Águia de MarabáLWWDW

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
TremDLWLW

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Águia de MarabáTrem
59.5Attack57.1
59.5Defence50.0
57.1Form54.8
58.9Power54.7
1.93xG1.25
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