GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie D · 4/19/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Águia de Marabá · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Águia de Marabá are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Imperatriz are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Águia de Marabá hold a 9.7-point power-rating edge (58.9 v 49.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.9% in the Serie D, while Águia de Marabá holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Águia de Marabá

Probability

48.1%

Model confidence

13.9%

Águia de Marabá has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Águia de MarabáDDLWW

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
ImperatrizWDLDL

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Águia de MarabáImperatriz
59.5Attack40.5
59.5Defence64.3
57.1Form42.9
58.9Power49.2
1.41xG0.87
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