Gudja Unitedvs
St. Andrews
COMPLETEDMalta · Challenge League · 10/11/2026, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
St. Andrews · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Gudja United 0-1 St. Andrews
Original prediction
St. Andrews
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 19:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.60 | 34.8% | 36.4% | 1.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.40 | 26.5% | 27.0% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 2.33 | 38.7% | 36.6% | -2.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.33 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
St. Andrews
Probability
36.6%
Model confidence
36.6%
St. Andrews has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80