Gudja Unitedvs
Melita
COMPLETEDMalta · Challenge League · 9/13/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Melita · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 1-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Gudja United 0-3 Melita
Original prediction
Melita
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.60 | 25.1% | 15.7% | -9.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.50 | 25.7% | 19.2% | -6.6 pts |
| Away | 1.83 | 49.2% | 65.1% | 15.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.83 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
15.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–212%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.1–110%
Predicted outcome
Melita
Probability
65.1%
Model confidence
65.1%
Melita has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Gudja UnitedWWLWD
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
MelitaLLLWL
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80
BTTS 0/5O2.5 2/5
Gudja UnitedMelita
45.5Attack74.7
48.5Defence68.0
40.9Form78.7
46.9Power73.3
0.87xG2.30