Gudja Unitedvs
Fgura United
COMPLETEDMalta · Challenge League · 10/24/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fgura United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 0-2 (11%), 0-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Gudja United 1-2 Fgura United
Original prediction
Fgura United
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 12:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.67 | 16.0% | 20.8% | 4.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.93 | 23.1% | 24.1% | 1.0 pts |
| Away | 1.49 | 60.9% | 55.1% | -5.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.49 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.0–211%
- 3.0–111%
Predicted outcome
Fgura United
Probability
55.1%
Model confidence
55.1%
Fgura United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80
GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40