Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Gubbio are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Reggiana are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Reggiana hold a 2.9-point power-rating edge (47.1 v 50.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 20.0% in the Serie C - Girone B, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
36.9%
Model confidence
20.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40