Gubbiovs
Atalanta II
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone B · 10/18/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gubbio · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (8%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Gubbio 0-2 Atalanta II
Original prediction
Gubbio
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 19 September 2026 at 09:33 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.53 | 35.9% | 36.9% | 1.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.08 | 29.5% | 26.6% | -2.9 pts |
| Away | 2.62 | 34.6% | 36.6% | 2.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–08%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Gubbio
Probability
36.9%
Model confidence
36.9%
Gubbio has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 10 · avg 0.40/2.00
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80