Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Imbabura · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Guayaquil are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (LD), averaging 0.50 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Imbabura are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 0.50 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 4 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Imbabura hold an 18.9-point power-rating edge (38.0 v 56.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.0% in the Liga Pro Serie B, while Imbabura holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Imbabura
Probability
54.0%
Model confidence
54.0%
Imbabura has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 2 · avg 0.50/1.00
GF 1 · GA 3 · avg 0.50/1.50