GGOALVIO

Ecuador · Liga Pro · 3/18/2023, 9:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Guayaquil City FC are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Mushuc Runa SC are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 47.1 against 48.4. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.2% in the Liga Pro, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 22% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

42.2%

Model confidence

42.2%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Guayaquil City FCLDLWL

GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Mushuc Runa SCWLDLL

GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Guayaquil City FCMushuc Runa SC
27.8Attack42.7
65.3Defence54.7
40.3Form42.7
47.1Power48.4
0.80xG0.81
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