Guayaquil City FCvs
Mushuc Runa SC
COMPLETEDEcuador · Liga Pro · 9/12/2026, 9:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Guayaquil City FC 0-0 Mushuc Runa SC, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Guayaquil City FC 3-1 Mushuc Runa SC
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.61 | 34.9% | 35.3% | 0.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.00 | 30.3% | 30.4% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 2.62 | 34.7% | 34.3% | -0.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.1 pts
Projected Score
Guayaquil City FC 0–0 Mushuc Runa SC
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
30.4%
Model confidence
35.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Guayaquil City FCLLWWD
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Mushuc Runa SCDDWDD
GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 0.40/0.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Guayaquil City FCMushuc Runa SC
34.5Attack39.1
59.8Defence59.8
41.4Form43.7
47.9Power49.4
0.89xG0.86