GGOALVIO

Ecuador · Liga Pro · 3/23/2026, 9:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Guayaquil City FC are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Leones del Norte are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Leones del Norte hold a 2.3-point power-rating edge (47.1 v 49.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.4% in the Liga Pro, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 23% BTTS chance and 13% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

48.4%

Model confidence

48.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Guayaquil City FCWDLDL

GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Leones del NorteLDLDD

GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Guayaquil City FCLeones del Norte
27.8Attack33.3
65.3Defence65.3
40.3Form44.4
47.1Power49.4
0.61xG0.64
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