Guayaquil City FCvs
LDU de Quito
COMPLETEDEcuador · Liga Pro · 8/29/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Guayaquil City FC 0-0 LDU de Quito, with an exact score probability of 31%.
Prediction record
Final result
Guayaquil City FC 2-1 LDU de Quito
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.46 | 26.4% | 25.6% | -0.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.12 | 29.3% | 35.0% | 5.7 pts |
| Away | 2.06 | 44.3% | 39.4% | -4.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.7 pts
Projected Score
Guayaquil City FC 0–0 LDU de Quito
Exact score probability: 31%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
35.0%
Model confidence
39.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Guayaquil City FCWDDLD
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
LDU de QuitoWWDWD
GF 5 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Guayaquil City FCLDU de Quito
32.1Attack33.3
62.8Defence74.4
42.3Form52.6
48.4Power55.2
0.52xG0.69