Guayaquil City FCvs
Emelec
COMPLETEDEcuador · Liga Pro · 10/10/2026, 9:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Guayaquil City FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Guayaquil City FC 0-0 Emelec, with an exact score probability of 23%.
Prediction record
Final result
Guayaquil City FC 3-2 Emelec
Original prediction
Guayaquil City FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:41 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.81 | 32.3% | 40.6% | 8.3 pts |
| Draw | 2.96 | 30.6% | 32.2% | 1.6 pts |
| Away | 2.45 | 37.0% | 27.1% | -9.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.81 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.3 pts
Projected Score
Guayaquil City FC 0–0 Emelec
Exact score probability: 23%
Predicted outcome
Guayaquil City FC
Probability
40.6%
Model confidence
40.6%
Guayaquil City FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00