Guastatoyavs
Mixco
COMPLETEDGuatemala · Liga Nacional · 10/25/2026, 2:10:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Guastatoya · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Guastatoya 1-3 Mixco
Original prediction
Guastatoya
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.67 | 54.3% | 47.5% | -6.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.40 | 26.7% | 25.2% | -1.5 pts |
| Away | 4.78 | 19.0% | 27.2% | 8.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Guastatoya
Probability
47.5%
Model confidence
47.5%
Guastatoya has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20