Guastatoyavs
Deportivo San Pedro
COMPLETEDGuatemala · Liga Nacional · 9/26/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Guastatoya · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Guastatoya 0-0 Deportivo San Pedro, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Guastatoya 2-1 Deportivo San Pedro
Original prediction
Guastatoya
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 01:29 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.50 | 60.5% | 41.1% | -19.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.59 | 25.2% | 29.1% | 3.9 pts |
| Away | 6.33 | 14.3% | 29.8% | 15.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.50 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-19.4 pts
Projected Score
Guastatoya 0–0 Deportivo San Pedro
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Guastatoya
Probability
41.1%
Model confidence
41.1%
Guastatoya has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80