Guastatoyavs
Antigua GFC
COMPLETEDGuatemala · Liga Nacional · 10/15/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Guastatoya · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Guastatoya 1-1 Antigua GFC
Original prediction
Guastatoya
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 20:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.20 | 41.3% | 43.9% | 2.7 pts |
| Draw | 2.79 | 32.5% | 25.4% | -7.1 pts |
| Away | 3.46 | 26.2% | 30.7% | 4.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.79 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Guastatoya
Probability
43.9%
Model confidence
43.9%
Guastatoya has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20