Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Guarulhos · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Guarulhos are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Votoraty are 0W-1D-2L in their last 3 (LLD), averaging 0.67 scored and 1.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 8 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Guarulhos hold a 19.7-point power-rating edge (54.6 v 34.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.5% in the Paulista Série B, while Guarulhos holds the strongest overall chance at 71% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Guarulhos
Probability
71.0%
Model confidence
9.5%
Guarulhos has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.67/1.67