GGOALVIO

Brazil · Paulista Série B · 6/20/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Guarulhos · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Mediumconfidence

Guarulhos are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Sporting Paulinense are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Guarulhos hold a 7.1-point power-rating edge (54.6 v 47.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.9% in the Paulista Série B, while Guarulhos holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Guarulhos

Probability

60.4%

Model confidence

11.9%

Guarulhos has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

GuarulhosLWWDW

GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Sporting PaulinenseWLWWL

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
GuarulhosSporting Paulinense
63.3Attack31.0
50.0Defence54.8
53.3Form50.0
54.6Power47.4
1.88xG0.83
View match centre →