Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Guarda · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 1-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Guarda 0-1 Machico
Original prediction
Guarda
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 11 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.1–012%
Predicted outcome
Guarda
Probability
38.0%
Model confidence
38.0%
Guarda has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GuardaLLDLW
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
MachicoWWDDW
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
GuardaMachico
50.0Attack33.3
50.0Defence66.7
50.0Form33.3
50.0Power45.3
1.20xG0.98