Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Guarda · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Guarda 2-3 Chaves
Original prediction
Guarda
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 20:41 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Guarda
Probability
41.1%
Model confidence
41.1%
Guarda has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GuardaDLWLL
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
ChavesWLDLL
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
GuardaChaves
83.3Attack0.0
16.7Defence100.0
50.0Form33.3
53.0Power45.3
1.94xG1.56