Guarany de BagévsJoinville

Guarany de Bagé are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Joinville are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Joinville hold a 29.9-point power-rating edge (24.3 v 54.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.7% in the Serie D, while Joinville holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 23% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.