GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie D · 5/24/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Cascavel · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Guarany de Bagé are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Cascavel are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Cascavel hold a 28.4-point power-rating edge (24.3 v 52.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.5% in the Serie D, while Cascavel holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 21% BTTS chance and 20% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Cascavel

Probability

53.5%

Model confidence

53.5%

Cascavel has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Guarany de BagéLWLLL

GF 1 · GA 8 · avg 0.20/1.60

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
CascavelLWDLW

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Guarany de BagéCascavel
6.7Attack33.3
40.0Defence77.8
13.3Form44.4
24.3Power52.7
0.34xG1.19
View match centre →