Guarani U20vs
XV de Jaú U20
COMPLETEDBrazil · Paulista - U20 · 9/4/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Guarani U20 · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Projected score: Guarani U20 2-0 XV de Jaú U20, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Guarani U20 3-0 XV de Jaú U20
Original prediction
Guarani U20
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.40 | 64.1% | 77.7% | 13.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.18 | 21.4% | 15.2% | -6.2 pts |
| Away | 6.16 | 14.5% | 7.0% | -7.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.40 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.6 pts
Projected Score
Guarani U20 2–0 XV de Jaú U20
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Guarani U20
Probability
77.7%
Model confidence
77.7%
Guarani U20 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Guarani U20WDLWW
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
XV de Jaú U20LLWLW
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Guarani U20XV de Jaú U20
55.6Attack30.6
72.2Defence38.9
77.8Form38.9
69.0Power38.4
2.41xG0.43