Catarinense - 2Catarinense - 2
Wednesday, 22 July 2026Last updated 10:09
Guarani de Palhoça

Guarani de Palhoça

Home
D
70
Full time
Jaraguá

Jaraguá

Away
LL
GoalVio prediction
72% confidence
Guarani de Palhoça(72%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Win probability
Guarani de Palhoça
72%
Draw
20%
Jaraguá
8%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Guarani de Palhoça
34
Jaraguá
9
Defence
Guarani de Palhoça
66
Jaraguá
14
Momentum
Guarani de Palhoça
33
Jaraguá
0
Danger (xG)
Guarani de Palhoça
0.90
Jaraguá
0.00
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Guarani de Palhoça)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Jaraguá)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Guarani de Palhoça)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Jaraguá)
2.25
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Guarani de PalhoçaGuarani de Palhoça
DD
JaraguáJaraguá
LLL

Probability breakdown

72% confidence
Guarani de Palhoça72%
Draw20%
Jaraguá8%

Guarani de Palhoça leads with 72% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Guarani de Palhoça head into this in Catarinense - 2 fixture in mixed form (D), while Jaraguá arrive in mixed form (LL). Guarani de Palhoça have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for Jaraguá over 2 games.

The model rates Guarani de Palhoça's attack at 34/100 against a 14/100 Jaraguá defence, and Jaraguá's attack at 9/100 against a 66/100 Guarani de Palhoça backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

Guarani de Palhoça have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 0.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per home match. Jaraguá have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 1 away matches. They average 0.0 goals scored and 6.0 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between Guarani de Palhoça and Jaraguá in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Guarani de Palhoça to win with 72% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Guarani de Palhoça 7212%, Draw 2020%, Jaraguá 769%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Recent form

Guarani de Palhoça

Guarani de Palhoça

D
@ Fluminense-SC
15 Jul 2026
11
D
vs Juventus SC
16 May 2026
00
Jaraguá

Jaraguá

L
vs Nação
15 Jul 2026
02
L
vs Tubarao
1 Jul 2026
03
L
@ Blumenau
10 Jun 2026
06

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Guarani de Palhoça vs Jaraguá?

GoalVio's model predicts Guarani de Palhoça to win with 72% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Guarani de Palhoça vs Jaraguá?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Guarani de Palhoça vs Jaraguá?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Guarani de Palhoça vs Jaraguá?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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