Catarinense - 2Catarinense - 2
Sunday, 19 July 2026Last updated 10:09
Guarani de Palhoça

Guarani de Palhoça

Home
D
11
Full time
Blumenau

Blumenau

Away
D
GoalVio prediction
38% confidence
Blumenau(37%)
Most likely exact score0-1
Win probability
Guarani de Palhoça
28%
Draw
35%
Blumenau
37%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Guarani de Palhoça
34
Blumenau
34
Defence
Guarani de Palhoça
66
Blumenau
66
Momentum
Guarani de Palhoça
33
Blumenau
33
Danger (xG)
Guarani de Palhoça
0.90
Blumenau
0.90
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Guarani de Palhoça)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Blumenau)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Guarani de Palhoça)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Blumenau)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Guarani de PalhoçaGuarani de Palhoça
DD
BlumenauBlumenau
WDDWD

Probability breakdown

38% confidence
Guarani de Palhoça28%
Draw35%
Blumenau37%

Blumenau leads with 37% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Guarani de Palhoça head into this in Catarinense - 2 fixture in mixed form (D), while Blumenau arrive in mixed form (D). Guarani de Palhoça have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for Blumenau over 1 games.

Both sides are defensively strong — Guarani de Palhoça (66/100) and Blumenau (66/100) are both rated highly at the back. The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair with defences on top.

Guarani de Palhoça have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 0.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per home match. Blumenau have limited away data in the engine at this stage.

There is no head-to-head data between Guarani de Palhoça and Blumenau in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Blumenau to win with 38% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 0-1. Win probabilities: Guarani de Palhoça 2834%, Draw 3500%, Blumenau 3666%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Guarani de Palhoça

Guarani de Palhoça

D
@ Fluminense-SC
15 Jul 2026
11
D
vs Juventus SC
16 May 2026
00
Blumenau

Blumenau

W
vs Metropolitano
15 Jul 2026
41
D
vs Juventus SC
8 Jul 2026
11
D
vs São Luiz
27 Jun 2026
11
W
vs Jaraguá
10 Jun 2026
60
D
vs Marcílio Dias
16 May 2026
00

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Guarani de Palhoça vs Blumenau?

GoalVio's model predicts Blumenau to win with 38% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Guarani de Palhoça vs Blumenau?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 0-1.

Will both teams score in Guarani de Palhoça vs Blumenau?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Guarani de Palhoça vs Blumenau?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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