GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie C · 4/19/2026, 7:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Guarani Campinas · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Guarani Campinas are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDDLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while AO Itabaiana are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Guarani Campinas hold a 17.1-point power-rating edge (58.9 v 41.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 63.6% in the Serie C, while Guarani Campinas holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Guarani Campinas

Probability

63.6%

Model confidence

63.6%

Guarani Campinas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Guarani CampinasWDDLD

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 0/5
AO ItabaianaLLLWD

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Guarani CampinasAO Itabaiana
60.4Attack25.5
64.6Defence58.8
54.2Form33.3
58.9Power41.8
1.68xG0.47
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