GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie D · 4/4/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Guaporé · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Guaporé are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (LD), averaging 0.50 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Independência are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 7 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Guaporé hold a 10.3-point power-rating edge (63.2 v 52.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.3% in the Serie D, while Guaporé holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Guaporé

Probability

44.3%

Model confidence

44.3%

Guaporé has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

GuaporéLD

GF 1 · GA 6 · avg 0.50/3.00

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
IndependênciaLLLWL

GF 5 · GA 15 · avg 1.00/3.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
GuaporéIndependência
54.8Attack50.0
69.0Defence63.9
61.9Form44.4
63.2Power52.8
1.31xG0.82
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