Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Guaporé · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Guaporé are 1W-2D-1L in their last 4 (DWLD), averaging 0.75 scored and 1.75 conceded, while Humaitá are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 9 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Guaporé hold a 56.4-point power-rating edge (63.2 v 6.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 86.3% in the Serie D, while Guaporé holds the strongest overall chance at 86% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Guaporé
Probability
86.3%
Model confidence
86.3%
Guaporé has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.75/1.75
GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40