Guangzhou E-Powervs
Suzhou Dongwu
COMPLETEDChina · League One · 10/25/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Guangzhou E-Power · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (11%), 2-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Guangzhou E-Power 1-1 Suzhou Dongwu
Original prediction
Guangzhou E-Power
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 06:28 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.57 | 57.7% | 51.1% | -6.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.88 | 23.4% | 25.6% | 2.2 pts |
| Away | 4.79 | 18.9% | 23.3% | 4.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.88 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.2–011%
Predicted outcome
Guangzhou E-Power
Probability
51.1%
Model confidence
51.1%
Guangzhou E-Power has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40