Guangzhou E-Powervs
Dalian Huayi
COMPLETEDChina · League One · 9/12/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Guangzhou E-Power · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (15%), 3-0 (12%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Guangzhou E-Power 1-1 Dalian Huayi
Original prediction
Guangzhou E-Power
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.43 | 62.6% | 74.2% | 11.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.14 | 21.7% | 16.3% | -5.3 pts |
| Away | 5.71 | 15.7% | 9.4% | -6.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.14 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–015%
- 2.3–012%
- 3.1–011%
Predicted outcome
Guangzhou E-Power
Probability
74.2%
Model confidence
74.2%
Guangzhou E-Power has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 2 · avg 2.80/0.40
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60