Guangzhou E-Powervs
Changchun Yatai
COMPLETEDChina · League One · 8/30/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Guangzhou E-Power · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (11%), 3-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Guangzhou E-Power 3-0 Changchun Yatai
Original prediction
Guangzhou E-Power
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.38 | 65.6% | 75.1% | 9.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.48 | 20.3% | 15.0% | -5.3 pts |
| Away | 6.43 | 14.1% | 9.9% | -4.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.38 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–011%
- 2.3–010%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Guangzhou E-Power
Probability
75.1%
Model confidence
75.1%
Guangzhou E-Power has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 3 · avg 2.60/0.60
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40