GGOALVIO

China · FA Cup · 5/16/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Wuxi Wugou · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Guangzhou Dandelion are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDLWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Wuxi Wugou are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Wuxi Wugou hold a 36.7-point power-rating edge (31.3 v 68.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.8% in the FA Cup, while Wuxi Wugou holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Wuxi Wugou

Probability

42.5%

Model confidence

13.8%

Wuxi Wugou has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Guangzhou DandelionDDLWD

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Wuxi WugouLDDLL

GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Guangzhou DandelionWuxi Wugou
0.0Attack66.7
66.7Defence66.7
16.7Form66.7
31.3Power68.0
1.14xG1.43
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