GGOALVIO

China · League Two · 4/29/2026, 8:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Shenzhen 2028 · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Guangzhou Dandelion are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Shenzhen 2028 are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Shenzhen 2028 hold a 17.5-point power-rating edge (43.0 v 60.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.0% in the League Two, while Shenzhen 2028 holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Shenzhen 2028

Probability

53.0%

Model confidence

53.0%

Shenzhen 2028 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Guangzhou DandelionWDWWW

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Shenzhen 2028WWDLD

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Guangzhou DandelionShenzhen 2028
31.7Attack60.0
55.0Defence61.7
35.0Form60.0
43.0Power60.5
0.74xG1.56
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