Guangzhou Dandelionvs
Shanghai Second
COMPLETEDChina · League Two · 10/12/2026, 8:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Guangzhou Dandelion · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Guangzhou Dandelion 0-0 Shanghai Second, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Guangzhou Dandelion 3-1 Shanghai Second
Original prediction
Guangzhou Dandelion
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 18 September 2026 at 16:14 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.80 | 50.1% | 42.1% | -8.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.15 | 28.6% | 30.8% | 2.2 pts |
| Away | 4.24 | 21.2% | 27.1% | 5.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.80 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.0 pts
Projected Score
Guangzhou Dandelion 0–0 Shanghai Second
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Guangzhou Dandelion
Probability
42.1%
Model confidence
42.1%
Guangzhou Dandelion has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20