Guangzhou Dandelionvs
Rizhao Yuqi
COMPLETEDChina · League Two · 9/13/2026, 8:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Guangzhou Dandelion 0-0 Rizhao Yuqi, with an exact score probability of 35%.
Prediction record
Final result
Guangzhou Dandelion 1-2 Rizhao Yuqi
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 8 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.53 | 35.5% | 32.4% | -3.1 pts |
| Draw | 2.64 | 34.0% | 35.3% | 1.2 pts |
| Away | 2.95 | 30.4% | 32.3% | 1.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.2 pts
Projected Score
Guangzhou Dandelion 0–0 Rizhao Yuqi
Exact score probability: 35%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
35.3%
Model confidence
35.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Guangzhou DandelionDWDLD
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Rizhao YuqiLDWDW
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Guangzhou DandelionRizhao Yuqi
33.3Attack19.7
57.6Defence75.8
37.9Form39.4
45.1Power47.8
0.52xG0.57