Guangxi Hengchenvs
Yanbian Longding
COMPLETEDChina · League One · 9/12/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Guangxi Hengchen · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Guangxi Hengchen 2-1 Yanbian Longding
Original prediction
Guangxi Hengchen
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.76 | 51.3% | 46.1% | -5.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.44 | 26.2% | 26.0% | -0.2 pts |
| Away | 4.00 | 22.5% | 27.9% | 5.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.76 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Guangxi Hengchen
Probability
46.1%
Model confidence
46.1%
Guangxi Hengchen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80