Guangxi Hengchenvs
Shenzhen Juniors
COMPLETEDChina · League One · 10/11/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Guangxi Hengchen · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Guangxi Hengchen 1-1 Shenzhen Juniors
Original prediction
Guangxi Hengchen
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 21:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.94 | 46.6% | 41.6% | -4.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.42 | 26.4% | 28.2% | 1.8 pts |
| Away | 3.34 | 27.0% | 30.1% | 3.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.42 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Guangxi Hengchen
Probability
41.6%
Model confidence
41.6%
Guangxi Hengchen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40