GGOALVIO

China · League One · 3/20/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Guangxi Hengchen · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Guangxi Hengchen are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Ningbo Professional are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 0.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 6 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Guangxi Hengchen hold a 5.8-point power-rating edge (59.4 v 53.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.9% in the League One, while Guangxi Hengchen holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Guangxi Hengchen

Probability

48.9%

Model confidence

48.9%

Guangxi Hengchen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Guangxi HengchenLLWDW

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Ningbo ProfessionalL

GF 0 · GA 2 · avg 0.00/2.00

BTTS 0/1O2.5 0/1
Guangxi HengchenNingbo Professional
58.8Attack45.1
58.8Defence56.9
56.9Form52.9
59.4Power53.6
1.65xG1.00
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