Guangxi Hengchenvs
Nanjing City
COMPLETEDChina · League One · 4/25/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Guangxi Hengchen · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Guangxi Hengchen are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Nanjing City are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Guangxi Hengchen hold a 13.3-point power-rating edge (59.4 v 46.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 16.1% in the League One, while Guangxi Hengchen holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Guangxi Hengchen
Probability
54.6%
Model confidence
16.1%
Guangxi Hengchen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20