GGOALVIO

China · League One · 4/25/2026, 11:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Guangxi Hengchen · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Guangxi Hengchen are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Nanjing City are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Guangxi Hengchen hold a 13.3-point power-rating edge (59.4 v 46.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 16.1% in the League One, while Guangxi Hengchen holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Guangxi Hengchen

Probability

54.6%

Model confidence

16.1%

Guangxi Hengchen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Guangxi HengchenLLWWL

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Nanjing CityLDLDW

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Guangxi HengchenNanjing City
58.8Attack31.5
58.8Defence63.0
56.9Form37.0
59.4Power46.1
1.46xG0.68
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