Guangxi Hengchen leads with 44% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

Match insights

Guangxi Hengchen head into this in League One fixture at Guangxi Sports Center in mixed form (W), while Heilongjiang Lava Spring arrive in mixed form (L). Guangxi Hengchen have a 100% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for Heilongjiang Lava Spring over 1 games.

Tactically, this looks like a one-sided contest. Guangxi Hengchen's elite attack (94/100) faces a vulnerable Heilongjiang Lava Spring defence (6/100), while Heilongjiang Lava Spring's attack is up against a solid Guangxi Hengchen backline. The model sees a clear mismatch in Guangxi Hengchen's favour.

Guangxi Hengchen have won all 1 of their recent home fixtures, averaging 3.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game at home. Heilongjiang Lava Spring have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 1 away matches. They average 0.0 goals scored and 3.0 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between Guangxi Hengchen and Heilongjiang Lava Spring in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Guangxi Hengchen to win with 44% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Guangxi Hengchen 4384%, Draw 2740%, Heilongjiang Lava Spring 2876%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Recent form

Guangxi Hengchen

W

vs Dalian Huayi

5 Jul 2026

3–1

W

@ Changchun Yatai

27 Jun 2026

2–1

Heilongjiang Lava Spring

L

@ Yanbian Longding

4 Jul 2026

0–3

D

vs Wuxi Wugou

28 Jun 2026

3–3

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