Guangxi Hengchenvs
Hebei Kungfu
COMPLETEDChina · League One · 9/6/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Guangxi Hengchen · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Guangxi Hengchen 1-0 Hebei Kungfu, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Guangxi Hengchen 0-1 Hebei Kungfu
Original prediction
Guangxi Hengchen
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.49 | 61.4% | 62.1% | 0.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.94 | 23.2% | 23.6% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 5.92 | 15.4% | 14.3% | -1.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.7 pts
Projected Score
Guangxi Hengchen 1–0 Hebei Kungfu
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Guangxi Hengchen
Probability
62.1%
Model confidence
62.1%
Guangxi Hengchen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00