Guangdong Shudihongvs
Rizhao Yuqi
COMPLETEDChina · FA Cup · 4/18/2026, 11:35:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rizhao Yuqi · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Guangdong Shudihong are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 1.00 scored and 4.00 conceded, while Rizhao Yuqi are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 7 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Rizhao Yuqi hold a 63.3-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 78.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.6% in the FA Cup, while Rizhao Yuqi holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Rizhao Yuqi
Probability
56.8%
Model confidence
11.6%
Rizhao Yuqi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/4.00
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80