Guangdong Mingtuvs
Shangyu Pterosaur
COMPLETEDChina · League Two · 3/21/2026, 7:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Guangdong Mingtu are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Shangyu Pterosaur are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Guangdong Mingtu hold a 2.7-point power-rating edge (48.4 v 45.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.1% in the League Two, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 16% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
45.1%
Model confidence
45.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20