GGOALVIO

China · League Two · 4/14/2026, 11:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Guangdong Mingtu · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Guangdong Mingtu are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Guangzhou Dandelion are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Guangdong Mingtu hold a 5.5-point power-rating edge (48.4 v 43.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 24.2% in the League Two, while Guangdong Mingtu holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 18% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Guangdong Mingtu

Probability

42.1%

Model confidence

24.2%

Guangdong Mingtu has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Guangdong MingtuDLDLW

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Guangzhou DandelionWWLWL

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Guangdong MingtuGuangzhou Dandelion
31.7Attack31.7
68.3Defence55.0
38.3Form35.0
48.4Power43.0
0.93xG0.54
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